Amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in South Asia and the Eastern Mediterranean, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is making a visit to Cyprus today. While it may appear to be a routine diplomatic trip, it holds significant political and geostrategic implications. This is Modi’s inaugural trip to the Republic of Cyprus during a period when India aims to enhance its global standing and reshape geopolitical alliances.
Major Political Implications
Upon his arrival at Larnaca airport, Modi will be greeted by President Christodoulides, with heightened security in Cyprus due to the Israel-Iran conflict. The situation is so tense that missile exchanges between these nations can even be observed from Cyprus. The island has also prepared special contingency measures to accommodate civilians if necessary. Despite recent tragic events in India, Modi remains committed to his itinerary.
Following a roundtable discussion in Limassol with business leaders from both nations, Modi will enjoy an informal working dinner. Tomorrow, he will receive a formal welcome at the Presidential Palace in Nicosia, hold a private meeting with President Christodoulides, and be honored with the Grand Cross of the Order of Makarios III.
Extended discussions will take place between the two delegations, culminating in a joint press conference. Key topics are expected to include enhancing bilateral relations, particularly in economy, trade, infrastructure, and investment; EU-India relations; the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC); and ongoing situations in the Middle East and South Asia, along with the Cyprus issue.
The Indian Prime Minister is also set to address the University of Cyprus, discussing the historical ties of their peoples who share colonial experiences and aspirations for progress. Several intergovernmental agreements aimed at cooperative efforts will be signed, and the establishment of an “Indo-Cypriot Strategic Cooperation Council” will be announced.
A Message to Ankara
This visit has drawn attention in Ankara. Modi’s presence in Cyprus serves as an indirect but unmistakable response to President Erdoğan, whose government has consistently supported Pakistan globally, especially concerning the Kashmir issue. In return, Islamabad aligns with Turkey’s stance on the breakaway state in Northern Cyprus, often referencing the “Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus” despite its lack of official recognition.
Modi’s trip aligns with India’s efforts to diplomatically isolate Pakistan and counter the Turkish-Pakistani alliance by extending its influence into strategically significant regions such as Cyprus.
For Turkey, particularly in the occupied northern part of Cyprus, Modi’s visit is not just unsettling; it is provocative. His presence reinforces the legitimacy of the Republic of Cyprus and undermines any notion of a “two-state solution” that would recognize the breakaway state.
As a key UN member, BRICS nation, and nuclear power, India sends a strong message affirming that the Republic of Cyprus is the sole legitimate representative on the island.
Geostrategic Interests
India’s engagement with Cyprus transcends mere symbolism. The island’s strategic location positions it as a “gateway” to Europe, the Middle East, and North Africa, fitting within India’s broader strategy. Cyprus is strategically significant for vital sea routes connected to the new Silk Road and the India-Europe link through the Red Sea and the Mediterranean.
In addition, Cyprus plays a key role in energy projects, and India is keen to tap into natural resources, invest in LNG infrastructure, and engage in European energy initiatives aimed at reducing reliance on Russian sources.
Value of EU Membership
Modi’s visit comes ahead of Cyprus assuming the EU Council Presidency in the first half of 2026. India views this presidency as a valuable opportunity to enhance its political foothold in Europe through a partner willing to advocate for its interests within EU frameworks, unlike major powers such as France or Germany.
India is striving for European acknowledgment of its geopolitical role, especially in trade, security, technology, and migration. In this regard, Cyprus could act as a “power multiplier” for India’s influence in Brussels.
Over the past few years, Cyprus has emerged as a stable force in the Mediterranean, forging strong ties with the U.S. and Israel. While India holds a BRICS membership and usually maintains independence from Western alliances, it sees no conflict in strengthening connections with Cyprus. Rather, it aims for balance, looking to avoid alignment with Russia or competition with China in Asia.
Modi’s visit encapsulates a dual message: that India can collaborate with NATO and Western allies without compromising its BRICS connections, and that it can pursue a global role that transcends a singular “chessboard” — particularly one with questionable stability. Given its geographic position and foreign policy, Cyprus is well-suited for such “flexible alliances.”
Historical Connections
The visit also has historical significance. India and Cyprus share a colonial legacy and were key allies in the Non-Aligned Movement. Archbishop Makarios maintained close relations with both Nehru and Indira Gandhi, and India was among the first countries to recognize the Republic of Cyprus in 1960, consistently supporting it at the United Nations.
Today, the two nations are embarking on a new chapter in their relations, establishing a “strategic partnership between small and large nations” within a multipolar global landscape. This relationship transcends their colonial past, focusing instead on mutual interests in international standing, regional security, and economic advancement.
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